Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Dave Sadler

Team: TixallDivision: Division ALast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1082

Current Handicap

NQ

Needs 1 more match(es)

Honours
Season:

9

Matches Played

7

Wins

2

Losses

78%

Win Rate

7.4

Avg Win Margin

10.0

Avg Loss Margin

3-2

Home Record

4-0

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
9 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/11/2026

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (9 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 154/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 9 matches

+4 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

26 May30 Jun7 Jul14 Jul21 Jul5 Aug11 Aug-1136

Gives 4 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current4
Win Percentage(35%)
78%
score+0.56→contribution+0.19
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.4
score-0.10→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.0
score-0.33→contribution-0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
78%
score+0.56→contribution+0.06
Opponent Strength(15%)
931
score+0.48→contribution+0.07
Weighted Score+0.256
Sample Size Confidence
80%(9/33 matches)
Rating1102 → shrunk 1082
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)1082
Recency Blend12% (9 recent matches)
Final Rating1082
Handicap
NQ

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

7W2L9 matches·77.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Tixall2026Division A97277.8%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/11/2026Dave ThomasA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
8/5/2026Chris DunbarA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision A
7/21/2026Danny MorrisH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision A
7/14/2026Rob MealorH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision A
7/7/2026Stan Newell *H18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A
6/30/2026Kevin WalshH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision A
5/28/2026Malcolm Gilfoyle *A21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision A
5/26/2026Jaxon Mcelnay *H21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision A
5/21/2026Steve BibbyA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision A

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

1

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WWLWL
Last 1078% win rate↓ declining
WWLWLWWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Dave Thomas101100%8/11/2026
Chris Dunbar101100%8/5/2026
Danny Morris0110%7/21/2026
Rob Mealor101100%7/14/2026
Stan Newell *0110%7/7/2026
Kevin Walsh101100%6/30/2026
Malcolm Gilfoyle *101100%5/28/2026
Jaxon Mcelnay *101100%5/26/2026
Steve Bibby101100%5/21/2026
Biggest Win
Jaxon Mcelnay * (+14)5/26/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Danny Morris (-17)7/21/2026
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
100% → 60%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
8966 known · 3 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-150% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
4-0100% win rate
Division A77.8%
7W·2L·9 played

Debut

May 21, 2026

Latest

Aug 11, 2026

Seasons Active

1 (3 mo span)

Matches / Season

9.0 (9 total)

Seasons

2026